Statistics Department
 


Dale W.R. Rosenthal

Ph.D. Candidate
Department of Statistics
The University of Chicago
Email: rosenthal@galton.uchicago.edu



As of Fall 2008, I will be an assistant professor of Finance at the University of Illinois at Chicago.

Ph.D., Statistics, The University of Chicago, June 2008 (expected)
B.S., Electrical Engineering, Cornell University, May 1995

Committee: Per A. Mykland (advisor), Stephen M. Stigler, David M. Modest.

Research areas:
  • Market microstructure and dynamic models of trading
  • Financial econometrics
  • Incentives induced by finance industry pay and fee structures
  • Issues affecting hedge funds, CTAs, and quant mutual funds
  • Multivariate time series analysis, including with random effects

Curriculum Vitae (PDF) (HTML)      Resume (PDF)

Prior Industry Experience

Morgan Stanley, Equity Trading Lab, Proprietary Trader/Researcher, 2000-2003
Long-Term Capital Management, Equity Derivatives, Strategist, 1995-2000

Publications

All work may be found on my SSRN author page.

Modeling Trade Direction. Data analysis in progress.
Unites the Lee and Ready; Ellis, Michaely, and O'Hara; and, tick methods for classifying trades as buys or sells. The model developed also uses the strength of these tests and allows for cross-correlations; autocorrelations; and, short-sale effects. The model is then estimated for a panel of 3000 stocks (approximately 10GB of trades).

Data Delays, Index Deletions, Prepayments, and Defaults. Submitted.
Develops models of composite delays using higher-order asymptotic approximations — including an elegant new approximation with appropriate tail behavior for risk management. Creates portfolio risk metrics for index rebalance risk (a previously unaddressed topic), prepayment risk, and default risk. A metric for bond portfolio diversity is also found. The theory is then applied to (1) data delays over a path, (2) deletions from a small index, and (3) defaults in a 200-bond CDO with an economic shock and correlated defaults.

Prior Links from Presentations and TA Duties